the past two years and especially during this most recent surge. We will continue to do our very best to deliver timely and appropriate care for all who need us.”
She noted Banner’s forecasting is having a hard time adjusting for the “fast and furious” omicron, but said she is hopeful the variant’s peak is on its way based on its journey in other parts of the world.
“What we currently forecast is that in Arizona, we are not yet at the omicron peak that is likely going to occur in the upcoming weeks,” said Bessel. “What we do know is that the number of cases that are going to be diagnosed here in the state of Arizona will continue to increase. We do expect some increase in hospitalization. But one of the things that we are learning about omicron from experience in other countries that have gone before us is that the descent from that peak will also be very rapid.”
Banner’s forecasting seems to be in line with others as well. The University of Washington’s well-regarded model projects the number of daily reported COVID-19 cases in the U.S. will peak at about 1.2 million by Jan. 19 before falling.
Arizona’s cases seem to be skyrocketing in the meantime: the Arizona Department of Health Services reported 18,783 new cases and six additional deaths on Wednesday, not counting those who have not been tested or did not report the results of an at-home test. Approximately 79,015 new tests were reported on Wednesday, with 10.7% returning positive. As of Tuesday, there were just 446 inpatient hospital beds available in the state. COVID-19 patients occupied 74% of beds in use.
Dr. Michael White, chief medical officer with Valleywise Health in Phoenix, said there were 50 COVID patients hospitalized in the main center, along with 52 across its behavioral health facilities. He said the Maryvale hospital hasn’t seen this kind of influx since it reopened in 2019.
“We continue to be challenged around health care staffing with this variant being positive,” said White. “We see this variant coming within our health care staff. Valleywise health continues to follow the CDC guidance around health care workers that are testing positive.”
Like Banner, Valleywise is ensuring that all infected staff members isolate for five days before allowing them to return to work in protective gear if they are asymptomatic.
It’s in stark contrast to the situation at other local hospitals, such as Dignity Health, which is allowing employees with mild omicron symptoms to keep working while ill in order to avoid staffing issues.
'Fast and furious': Phoenix doctors say Omicron not yet at peak - Your Valley
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